Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.662409e-05 0.000054 0.000062 0.000072 0.000082 0.000093 0.000105
2025-01-19 3.487466e-05 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000084 0.000101 0.000122
2025-01-26 2.742212e-05 0.000038 0.000051 0.000067 0.000086 0.000109 0.000136
2025-02-02 2.352434e-05 0.000035 0.000049 0.000068 0.000092 0.000120 0.000156
2025-02-09 1.974421e-05 0.000031 0.000047 0.000068 0.000095 0.000128 0.000170
2025-02-16 1.815970e-05 0.000031 0.000047 0.000071 0.000102 0.000141 0.000193
2025-02-23 1.541847e-05 0.000028 0.000045 0.000070 0.000104 0.000148 0.000206
2025-03-02 1.258107e-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000067 0.000103 0.000150 0.000214
2025-03-09 1.056261e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000066 0.000104 0.000154 0.000224
2025-03-16 8.906681e-06 0.000020 0.000037 0.000065 0.000105 0.000159 0.000235
2025-03-23 7.678803e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000064 0.000107 0.000165 0.000247
2025-03-30 6.618464e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000064 0.000108 0.000170 0.000259
2025-04-06 5.316846e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000062 0.000109 0.000174 0.000270
2025-04-13 4.073729e-06 0.000013 0.000029 0.000059 0.000107 0.000176 0.000278
2025-04-20 3.182830e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000057 0.000107 0.000180 0.000288
2025-04-27 2.782153e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000059 0.000112 0.000190 0.000309
2025-05-04 2.273063e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000058 0.000113 0.000196 0.000323
2025-05-11 2.140181e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000061 0.000121 0.000212 0.000351
2025-05-18 1.720716e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000061 0.000122 0.000217 0.000364
2025-05-25 1.267613e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000058 0.000120 0.000218 0.000371
2025-06-01 9.688280e-07 0.000007 0.000022 0.000057 0.000121 0.000221 0.000382
2025-06-08 7.360570e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000056 0.000121 0.000225 0.000393
2025-06-15 5.762838e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000055 0.000122 0.000231 0.000407